Lets see, first you have to make the bonehead roll 5/6 chance of succeeding, then an accurate pass which is 1/6 chance of succeeding and then you must land which is 2/3 chance of succeeding.
5/6*1/6*2/3 =0.0925 = 9.25% chance of succeeding and getting a spp.
And the chance for turnover is much higher but i wont bother calculating it.
TTM exp
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