
On a basic kick, there's only a 1:48 chance of the ball scattering one square and bouncing into the target square. With the Kick skill that goes to 1:24. In LRB the odds are actually worse than that once you factor in "Bad Kick" results. With PBBL the Bad Kick is gone, and with the occaisional 2 square scatters the math is a little funky but about the same. At least with PBBL, the High Kick result increases the odds of someone catching the ball.
But how about giving a serious chance that it might land where it was aimed? One way to do this would be to modify a Nice Weather roll to include the ball lands on target and bounces if no one is in that square.
Cheers,
Maureen